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UK General Election 2024 Prediction | Labour landslide: majority of 108 Swing of 15.3% to Labour from Conservative Based on UK Election Polls. View Swingometer. View Seat Prediction. | |
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Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Prediction | SNP short by 18 Based on Scottish Parliament Polls. View Swingometer. View Seat Prediction. | |
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Senedd Election 2026 Prediction | Labour short by 1 Based on Senedd Polls. View Swingometer. View Seat Prediction. |
Below is the list of upcoming elections, by-elections, referendums and events that you should make a note of in your diary. It is based on the most recent information we have and is subject to change.
| Date | Event | Description |
|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul 2024 | UK General Election | Date of the next general election |
| 07 May 2026 | Scottish Parliament election | Latest date the next Scottish Parliament election can be held |
| 07 May 2026 | Senedd election | Latest date the next Senedd election can be held |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2024 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| LAB | CON | REF | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 379 | 194 | 0 | 36 | 1 |
| Change | ▲179 | ▼178 | - | ▲28 | - |
| Votes | 40.8% | 22.2% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 5.9% |
| Change | ▲8.0% | ▼22.5% | ▲13.1% | ▼0.6% | ▲3.1% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2024 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 47 | 21 | 42 | 8 | 11 |
| Change | ▼17 | ▼10 | ▲20 | - | ▲7 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 30 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| Change | - | ▼4 | ▼1 | - | - |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.