UK General Election 2024 Prediction | Labour win: majority of 66 Swing of 15.7% to Labour from Conservative Based on UK Election Polls. View seat gains and losses. | |
Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Prediction | Labour short by 23 Based on Scottish Parliament Polls. View seat gains and losses. | |
Senedd Election 2026 Prediction | Labour short by 3 Based on Senedd Polls. View seat gains and losses. |
Below is the list of upcoming elections, by-elections, referendums and events that you should make a note of in your diary. It is based on the most recent information we have and is subject to change.
Date | Event | Description |
---|---|---|
23 Jan 2025 | UK General Election | Latest date the next general election can be held |
07 May 2026 | Scottish Parliament election | Latest date the next Scottish Parliament election can be held |
07 May 2026 | Senedd election | Latest date the next Senedd election can be held |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2024 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
LAB | CON | RefUK | LD | GRN | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats | 358 | 192 | 0 | 27 | 1 |
Change | ▲158 | ▼180 | - | ▲19 | - |
Votes | 43.4% | 23.8% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 5.8% |
Change | ▲10.5% | ▼20.9% | ▲9.9% | ▼2.3% | ▲3.1% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2024 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats | 42 | 23 | 42 | 10 | 12 |
Change | ▼22 | ▼8 | ▲20 | ▲2 | ▲8 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
LAB | CON | PC | LD | GRN | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats | 28 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 5 |
Change | ▼2 | ▼5 | ▼4 | ▲1 | ▲5 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.