Below are lists of Labour target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.
Below is the list of Labour target seats for the 2024 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.
View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.
(order by percentage majority)
Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority over LAB | Swing Needed | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Burnley | North West | 127 | 0.13% | |
2. | Leigh and Atherton | North West | 293 | 0.33% | |
3. | High Peak | East Midlands | 590 | 0.54% | |
4. | Bangor Aberconwy | Wales | 749 | 0.77% | |
5. | Wolverhampton West | West Midlands | 934 | 0.92% | |
6. | Bury South | North West | 935 | 0.94% | |
7. | Bury North | North West | 1,282 | 1.20% | |
8. | Bolton North East | North West | 1,278 | 1.28% | |
9. | Watford | East of England | 1,300 | 1.35% | |
10. | Chingford and Woodford Green | London | 1,604 | 1.47% | |
11. | Wycombe | South East | 1,494 | 1.58% | |
12. | Birmingham Northfield | West Midlands | 1,478 | 1.68% | |
13. | Leeds North West | Yorkshire and the Humber | 2,001 | 1.80% | |
14. | Stroud | South West | 2,467 | 2.03% | |
15. | Keighley and Ilkley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 2,218 | 2.11% | |
16. | Stoke-on-Trent Central | West Midlands | 1,715 | 2.11% | |
17. | East Lothian | Scotland | 2,207 | 2.15% | |
18. | Whitehaven and Workington | North West | 2,144 | 2.17% | |
19. | Gedling | East Midlands | 2,407 | 2.22% | |
20. | Walsall and Bloxwich | West Midlands | 2,186 | 2.40% | |
21. | Peterborough | East of England | 2,333 | 2.47% | |
22. | Vale of Glamorgan | Wales | 2,566 | 2.57% | |
23. | West Bromwich | West Midlands | 2,150 | 2.60% | |
24. | Cheshire Mid | North West | 2,494 | 2.66% | |
25. | Wakefield and Rothwell | Yorkshire and the Humber | 2,626 | 2.67% | |
26. | Ynys Mon | Wales | 1,968 | 2.69% | |
27. | Derby North | East Midlands | 2,540 | 2.70% | |
28. | Bridgend | Wales | 2,553 | 2.73% | |
29. | Clwyd North | Wales | 2,834 | 2.76% | |
30. | Lancaster and Wyre | North West | 3,012 | 3.05% | |
31. | Hastings and Rye | South East | 3,532 | 3.36% | |
32. | Eltham and Chislehurst | London | 3,444 | 3.37% | |
33. | Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy | Scotland | 3,220 | 3.41% | |
34. | Lincoln | East Midlands | 3,514 | 3.47% | |
35. | Hyndburn | North West | 2,951 | 3.48% | |
36. | Broxtowe | East Midlands | 3,819 | 3.58% | |
37. | Chipping Barnet | London | 4,209 | 3.60% | |
38. | Northampton North | East Midlands | 3,932 | 3.85% | |
39. | Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor | North East | 3,408 | 3.93% | |
40. | Hendon | London | 3,661 | 4.01% | |
41. | Truro and Falmouth | South West | 4,459 | 4.04% | |
42. | Wrexham | Wales | 3,939 | 4.18% | |
43. | Hull West and Haltemprice | Yorkshire and the Humber | 3,626 | 4.35% | |
44. | Blackpool South | North West | 3,700 | 4.36% | |
45. | Calder Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 5,107 | 4.52% | |
46. | Southampton Itchen | South East | 4,498 | 4.70% | |
47. | Milton Keynes Central | South East | 4,952 | 4.70% | |
48. | Clwyd East | Wales | 5,284 | 5.00% | |
49. | Glasgow North East | Scotland | 4,277 | 5.01% | |
50. | Darlington | North East | 4,968 | 5.36% | |
51. | Redcar | North East | 4,878 | 5.45% | |
52. | Ipswich | East of England | 5,479 | 5.53% | |
53. | Coatbridge and Bellshill | Scotland | 5,084 | 5.54% | |
54. | Altrincham and Sale West | North West | 6,139 | 5.61% | |
55. | Swindon South | South West | 5,650 | 5.70% | |
56. | Cities of London and Westminster | London | 5,976 | 5.73% | |
57. | Airdrie and Shotts | Scotland | 5,324 | 5.74% | |
58. | Bolsover | East Midlands | 5,273 | 5.77% | |
59. | Shipley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 6,242 | 5.78% | |
60. | Crewe and Nantwich | North West | 5,816 | 5.79% | |
61. | Rutherglen | Scotland | 5,855 | 5.90% | |
62. | Loughborough | East Midlands | 6,091 | 5.90% | |
63. | Midlothian | Scotland | 5,705 | 5.92% | |
64. | Rushcliffe | East Midlands | 7,354 | 6.12% | |
65. | Tipton and Wednesbury | West Midlands | 4,693 | 6.14% | |
66. | Norwich North | East of England | 6,365 | 6.25% | |
67. | Spen Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 6,064 | 6.42% | |
68. | Glasgow South West | Scotland | 5,533 | 6.43% | |
69. | Milton Keynes North | South East | 6,327 | 6.55% | |
70. | Worcester | West Midlands | 6,758 | 6.64% | |
71. | Glasgow North | Scotland | 5,582 | 6.72% | |
72. | Rother Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 6,135 | 6.74% | |
73. | Southport | North West | 6,771 | 6.80% | |
74. | Ashfield | East Midlands | 5,852 | 6.81% | |
75. | Shrewsbury | West Midlands | 7,175 | 6.96% | |
76. | Worthing East and Shoreham | South East | 7,474 | 7.03% | |
77. | Caerfyrddin | Wales | 7,511 | 7.04% | |
78. | Penistone and Stocksbridge | Yorkshire and the Humber | 7,210 | 7.28% | |
79. | Barrow and Furness | North West | 7,436 | 7.43% | |
80. | Colne Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 7,761 | 7.46% | |
81. | Ceredigion Preseli | Wales | 5,312 | 7.49% | |
82. | Filton and Bradley Stoke | South West | 7,842 | 7.61% | |
83. | Glasgow East | Scotland | 6,276 | 7.62% | |
84. | Uxbridge and Ruislip South | London | 7,939 | 7.77% | |
85. | Pembrokeshire Mid and South | Wales | 8,621 | 7.84% | |
86. | Thanet East | South East | 7,585 | 7.91% | |
87. | Corby and Northamptonshire East | East Midlands | 8,676 | 8.05% | |
88. | Leeds South West and Morley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 7,114 | 8.16% | |
89. | Hamilton and Clyde Valley | Scotland | 7,758 | 8.18% | |
90. | Bishop Auckland | North East | 8,113 | 8.19% | |
91. | Chelsea and Fulham | London | 8,993 | 8.21% | |
92. | Crawley | South East | 8,360 | 8.38% | |
93. | Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles) | Scotland | 2,438 | 8.42% | |
94. | Harrow East | London | 8,987 | 8.59% | |
95. | South Ribble | North West | 8,515 | 8.65% | |
96. | Newcastle-under-Lyme | West Midlands | 8,265 | 8.73% | |
97. | Bournemouth East | South West | 8,817 | 8.94% | |
98. | Stevenage | East of England | 8,562 | 8.98% | |
99. | Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke | Scotland | 8,294 | 9.11% | |
100. | Glasgow South | Scotland | 9,151 | 9.42% | |
101. | Camborne and Redruth | South West | 9,848 | 9.55% | |
102. | Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West | Scotland | 8,933 | 9.64% | |
103. | Stoke-on-Trent North | West Midlands | 8,077 | 9.65% | |
104. | Gloucester | South West | 9,880 | 9.67% | |
105. | Finchley and Golders Green | London | 10,767 | 9.72% | |
106. | York Outer | Yorkshire and the Humber | 10,782 | 9.85% | |
107. | Rossendale and Darwen | North West | 9,834 | 9.85% | |
108. | Wolverhampton North East | West Midlands | 7,847 | 9.92% | |
109. | Macclesfield | North West | 10,711 | 9.94% | |
110. | Blackpool North and Fleetwood | North West | 10,119 | 10.11% | |
111. | Monmouthshire | Wales | 10,837 | 10.25% | |
112. | Glasgow West | Scotland | 9,728 | 10.29% | |
113. | Scarborough and Whitby | Yorkshire and the Humber | 10,270 | 10.33% | |
114. | Dunfermline and Dollar | Scotland | 10,073 | 10.36% | |
115. | Welwyn Hatfield | East of England | 10,773 | 10.40% | |
116. | Hitchin | East of England | 11,264 | 10.42% | |
117. | Dunbartonshire West | Scotland | 9,841 | 10.56% | |
118. | Bolton West | North West | 10,619 | 10.65% | |
119. | Scunthorpe | Yorkshire and the Humber | 10,133 | 10.72% | |
120. | Carlisle | North West | 11,290 | 10.82% | |
121. | Erewash | East Midlands | 10,606 | 10.86% | |
122. | Bournemouth West | South West | 9,941 | 10.86% | |
123. | Edinburgh North and Leith | Scotland | 12,983 | 11.03% | |
124. | Earley and Woodley | South East | 11,293 | 11.05% | |
125. | Glenrothes and Mid Fife | Scotland | 9,352 | 11.06% | |
126. | Colchester | East of England | 10,940 | 11.14% | |
127. | Stockton West | North East | 11,749 | 11.29% | |
128. | Edinburgh East and Musselburgh | Scotland | 11,796 | 11.29% | |
129. | Hexham | North East | 12,186 | 11.29% | |
130. | Ossett and Denby Dale | Yorkshire and the Humber | 11,027 | 11.34% | |
131. | Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East | North East | 10,299 | 11.44% | |
132. | Dwyfor Meirionnydd | Wales | 11,569 | 11.45% | |
133. | Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme | Yorkshire and the Humber | 10,085 | 11.70% | |
134. | Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes | Yorkshire and the Humber | 9,759 | 11.71% | |
135. | Pendle and Clitheroe | North West | 11,568 | 11.92% | |
136. | Paisley and Renfrewshire South | Scotland | 11,023 | 11.96% | |
137. | Basingstoke | South East | 12,301 | 12.02% | |
138. | Bathgate and Linlithgow | Scotland | 11,432 | 12.11% | |
139. | Dover and Deal | South East | 12,421 | 12.13% | |
140. | Penrith and Solway | North West | 13,760 | 12.31% | |
141. | Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch | Scotland | 12,005 | 12.45% | |
142. | Telford | West Midlands | 10,900 | 12.52% | |
143. | Paisley and Renfrewshire North | Scotland | 11,753 | 12.56% | |
144. | East Kilbride and Strathaven | Scotland | 13,169 | 12.60% | |
145. | Livingston | Scotland | 12,424 | 12.61% | |
146. | Buckingham and Bletchley | South East | 13,345 | 12.68% | |
147. | Morecambe and Lunesdale | North West | 14,188 | 12.75% | |
148. | Derbyshire North East | East Midlands | 12,902 | 13.04% | |
149. | Croydon South | London | 13,408 | 13.06% | |
150. | Rugby | West Midlands | 13,395 | 13.10% | |
151. | Bassetlaw | East Midlands | 12,588 | 13.20% | |
152. | Worthing West | South East | 13,912 | 13.23% | |
153. | Stafford | West Midlands | 13,720 | 13.37% | |
154. | Hemel Hempstead | East of England | 13,161 | 13.41% | |
155. | Northampton South | East Midlands | 13,324 | 13.43% | |
156. | Thurrock | East of England | 11,962 | 13.48% | |
157. | Banbury | South East | 13,799 | 13.58% | |
158. | Plymouth Moor View | South West | 13,262 | 13.77% | |
159. | Halesowen | West Midlands | 12,082 | 13.82% | |
160. | Southend East and Rochford | East of England | 11,942 | 13.84% | |
161. | Swindon North | South West | 13,250 | 13.98% | |
162. | Frome and Somerset East | South West | 13,490 | 14.06% | |
163. | Selby | Yorkshire and the Humber | 14,838 | 14.06% | |
164. | Somerset North | South West | 16,184 | 14.23% | |
165. | Somerset North East and Hanham | South West | 16,389 | 14.27% | |
166. | Aylesbury | South East | 16,640 | 14.37% | |
167. | Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr | Wales | 14,765 | 14.42% | |
168. | St Austell and Newquay | South West | 15,942 | 14.47% | |
169. | Weston-Super-Mare | South West | 13,310 | 14.51% | |
170. | Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe | Wales | 15,204 | 14.54% | |
171. | Nuneaton | West Midlands | 13,144 | 14.54% | |
172. | Bromley and Biggin Hill | London | 14,380 | 14.66% | |
173. | Folkestone and Hythe | South East | 13,239 | 14.78% | |
174. | Rochester and Strood | South East | 13,553 | 14.82% | |
175. | Harborough, Oadby and Wigston | East Midlands | 15,608 | 14.84% | |
176. | Burton and Uttoxeter | West Midlands | 14,496 | 14.87% | |
177. | Southend West and Leigh | East of England | 15,454 | 15.03% | |
178. | Bracknell | South East | 14,129 | 15.07% | |
179. | Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner | London | 15,810 | 15.13% | |
180. | Isle of Wight West | South East | 11,618 | 15.25% | |
181. | Devon Central | South West | 17,300 | 15.25% | |
182. | Forest of Dean | South West | 15,869 | 15.41% | |
183. | Woking | South East | 15,914 | 15.58% | |
184. | Sherwood Forest | East Midlands | 16,290 | 15.63% | |
185. | Hertford and Stortford | East of England | 17,806 | 15.81% | |
186. | Dartford | South East | 14,704 | 15.81% | |
187. | Bexleyheath and Crayford | London | 15,038 | 15.90% | |
188. | Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard | East of England | 15,386 | 15.94% | |
189. | Kilmarnock and Loudoun | Scotland | 15,207 | 15.96% | |
190. | Dudley | West Midlands | 13,609 | 16.12% | |
191. | Ribble Valley | North West | 16,839 | 16.12% | |
192. | Gillingham and Rainham | South East | 15,119 | 16.15% | |
193. | St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire | East of England | 16,256 | 16.24% | |
194. | Derbyshire Mid | East Midlands | 16,816 | 16.30% | |
195. | Dundee Central | Scotland | 15,221 | 16.31% | |
196. | Harwich and Essex North | East of England | 17,651 | 16.32% | |
197. | Stourbridge | West Midlands | 15,133 | 16.34% | |
198. | Lowestoft | East of England | 14,850 | 16.36% | |
199. | Gravesham | South East | 15,581 | 16.38% | |
200. | Northumberland North | North East | 17,306 | 16.41% | |
201. | Hertfordshire North East | East of England | 18,189 | 16.44% | |
202. | Stoke-on-Trent South | West Midlands | 15,393 | 16.45% | |
203. | Norfolk South | East of England | 17,175 | 16.56% | |
204. | Sussex Mid | South East | 17,624 | 16.64% | |
205. | Edinburgh South West | Scotland | 17,352 | 16.64% | |
206. | Isle of Wight East | South East | 12,119 | 16.67% | |
207. | Kettering | East Midlands | 17,363 | 16.68% | |
208. | Didcot and Wantage | South East | 18,337 | 16.87% | |
209. | Reading West and Mid Berkshire | South East | 16,758 | 16.95% | |
210. | Mansfield | East Midlands | 16,247 | 17.01% | |
211. | Wellingborough and Rushden | East Midlands | 16,038 | 17.05% | |
212. | Brighton Pavilion | South East | 19,630 | 17.14% | |
213. | Portsmouth North | South East | 15,780 | 17.19% | |
214. | Dorset South | South West | 18,147 | 17.21% | |
215. | Ayrshire North and Arran | Scotland | 16,674 | 17.31% | |
216. | Aldershot | South East | 17,985 | 17.35% | |
217. | Tatton | North West | 19,281 | 17.40% | |
218. | Derbyshire Dales | East Midlands | 18,797 | 17.43% | |
219. | Derbyshire South | East Midlands | 16,483 | 17.46% | |
220. | Wimbledon | London | 10,783 | 17.48% | |
221. | Suffolk Coastal | East of England | 18,355 | 17.53% | |
222. | Runnymede and Weybridge | South East | 18,681 | 17.58% | |
223. | Harlow | East of England | 16,694 | 17.62% | |
224. | Ashford | South East | 17,211 | 17.71% | |
225. | Hertfordshire South West | East of England | 18,366 | 18.05% | |
226. | Cambridgeshire North West | East of England | 17,032 | 18.11% | |
227. | Beverley and Holderness | Yorkshire and the Humber | 17,976 | 18.16% | |
228. | Windsor | South East | 18,247 | 18.24% | |
229. | Salisbury | South West | 19,254 | 18.25% | |
230. | Devon South | South West | 19,799 | 18.27% | |
231. | Congleton | North West | 18,203 | 18.27% | |
232. | Chelmsford | East of England | 19,679 | 18.28% | |
233. | Leicestershire Mid | East Midlands | 20,188 | 18.29% | |
234. | Leicestershire North West | East Midlands | 18,548 | 18.33% | |
235. | Epsom and Ewell | South East | 21,099 | 18.38% | |
236. | Wiltshire South West | South West | 17,378 | 18.39% | |
237. | Sutton Coldfield | West Midlands | 19,272 | 18.42% | |
238. | Amber Valley | East Midlands | 16,891 | 18.52% | |
239. | Bicester and Woodstock | South East | 19,268 | 18.53% | |
240. | Fylde | North West | 19,254 | 18.53% | |
241. | Spelthorne | South East | 18,393 | 18.58% | |
242. | Bridgwater | South West | 16,724 | 18.58% | |
243. | Staffordshire Moorlands | West Midlands | 17,659 | 18.70% | |
244. | Chester South and Eddisbury | North West | 20,826 | 18.71% | |
245. | Broadland and Fakenham | East of England | 19,825 | 18.77% | |
246. | Newton Abbot | South West | 19,830 | 18.92% | |
247. | Alloa and Grangemouth | Scotland | 17,428 | 18.93% | |
248. | Poole | South West | 18,608 | 19.07% | |
249. | Romford | London | 18,536 | 19.16% | |
250. | Sutton and Cheam | London | 18,035 | 19.18% |
View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.
Below is the list of Labour target seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.
View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.
(order by percentage majority)
Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority over LAB | Swing Needed | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | East Lothian | South Scotland | 1,179 | 1.29% | |
2. | Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse | Central Scotland | 4,582 | 6.31% | |
3. | Rutherglen | Glasgow | 5,166 | 6.44% | |
4. | Clydebank and Milngavie | West Scotland | 5,274 | 7.00% | |
5. | Uddingston and Bellshill | Central Scotland | 5,306 | 7.37% | |
6. | Glasgow Kelvin | Glasgow | 5,930 | 8.23% | |
7. | Airdrie and Shotts | Central Scotland | 5,468 | 8.56% | |
8. | Paisley | West Scotland | 6,075 | 8.69% | |
9. | Cowdenbeath | Mid Scotland and Fife | 6,013 | 8.80% | |
10. | Midlothian North and Musselburgh | Lothian | 7,906 | 9.28% | |
11. | Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley | South Scotland | 6,636 | 9.31% | |
12. | Renfrewshire North and West | West Scotland | 7,307 | 9.57% | |
13. | Falkirk East | Central Scotland | 7,585 | 9.76% | |
14. | Glasgow Anniesland | Glasgow | 6,588 | 9.93% | |
15. | Renfrewshire South | West Scotland | 7,106 | 10.24% | |
16. | Glasgow Pollok | Glasgow | 7,105 | 10.51% | |
17. | Dunfermline | Mid Scotland and Fife | 8,664 | 10.58% | |
18. | Clydesdale | South Scotland | 8,636 | 10.60% | |
19. | East Kilbride | Central Scotland | 8,672 | 10.64% | |
20. | Linlithgow | Lothian | 10,105 | 10.78% | |
21. | Kirkcaldy | Mid Scotland and Fife | 7,831 | 11.13% | |
22. | Greenock and Inverclyde | West Scotland | 8,174 | 11.24% | |
23. | Edinburgh Central | Lothian | 9,437 | 11.31% | |
24. | Motherwell and Wishaw | Central Scotland | 7,813 | 11.44% | |
25. | Edinburgh Eastern | Lothian | 10,117 | 11.71% | |
26. | Clackmannanshire and Dunblane | Mid Scotland and Fife | 8,212 | 11.75% | |
27. | Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles) | Highlands and Islands | 3,441 | 11.86% | |
28. | Glasgow Provan | Glasgow | 7,230 | 12.02% | |
29. | Edinburgh Northern and Leith | Lothian | 11,569 | 12.35% | |
30. | Glasgow Shettleston | Glasgow | 8,025 | 12.50% |
View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.
Below is the list of Labour target seats for the 2026 Senedd election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.
View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.
(order by percentage majority)
Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority over LAB | Swing Needed | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Vale of Clwyd | North Wales | 366 | 0.70% | |
2. | Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South | Mid and West Wales | 936 | 1.48% | |
3. | Preseli Pembrokeshire | Mid and West Wales | 1,400 | 2.22% | |
4. | Monmouth | South Wales East | 3,845 | 5.36% | |
5. | Clwyd West | North Wales | 3,685 | 6.50% | |
6. | Aberconwy | North Wales | 3,844 | 8.16% | |
7. | Carmarthen East and Dinefwr | Mid and West Wales | 6,813 | 10.24% | |
8. | Brecon and Radnorshire | Mid and West Wales | 7,761 | 12.27% | |
9. | Dwyfor Meirionnydd | Mid and West Wales | 7,788 | 16.35% | |
10. | Montgomeryshire | Mid and West Wales | 8,437 | 16.88% | |
11. | Ynys Mon | North Wales | 10,206 | 18.40% | |
12. | Arfon | North Wales | 8,652 | 19.89% | |
13. | Ceredigion | Mid and West Wales | 13,601 | 22.11% |
View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.