On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 332 | 122 | 38 | 7 | 76 |
| Change | ▲327 | ▼289 | ▼83 | ▲3 | ▲4 |
| Votes | 30.3% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 12.8% |
| Change | ▲15.6% | ▼15.9% | ▼7.2% | ▲7.2% | ▲0.2% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 15.7% |
LAB | GRN | 11.6% |
CON | REF | 11.4% |
LAB | LD | 8.1% |
LD | REF | 7.7% |
CON | GRN | 7.2% |
LAB | CON | 4.3% |
GRN | REF | 4.2% |
CON | LD | 3.7% |
LD | GRN | 3.5% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 57 | 12 | 17 | 16 | 10 | 17 |
| Change | ▼7 | ▼19 | ▼5 | ▲8 | ▲6 | ▲17 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 27 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| Change | ▼20 | ▼19 | ▲5 | ▲32 | - |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.