On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 284 | 146 | 53 | 7 | 77 |
| Change | ▲279 | ▼265 | ▼68 | ▲3 | ▲5 |
| Votes | 28.6% | 19.9% | 18.6% | 13.0% | 12.8% |
| Change | ▲13.9% | ▼14.7% | ▼5.8% | ▲6.1% | ▲0.3% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 14.3% |
LAB | GRN | 10.4% |
CON | REF | 9.8% |
LAB | LD | 7.5% |
LD | REF | 6.8% |
CON | GRN | 6.0% |
LAB | CON | 4.5% |
GRN | REF | 3.9% |
CON | LD | 3.0% |
LD | GRN | 2.9% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 57 | 14 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 20 |
| Change | ▼7 | ▼17 | ▼3 | ▲2 | ▲5 | ▲20 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 8 | 8 | 40 | 32 | 1 |
| Change | ▼39 | ▼20 | ▲19 | ▲32 | ▲1 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.