Election Polling

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Latest Election Projections

UK General Election 2029 Prediction

Reform UK win: majority of 14
Swing of 15.4% to Reform UK from Labour
Next Election: 15th Aug 2029
Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Prediction

SNP short by 6
Next Election: 7th May 2026
Senedd Election 2026 Prediction

Plaid Cymru short by 12
Next Election: 7th May 2026

UK General Election 2029 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:

Reform UK
Win
14
seat majority

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:

REFLABCONLDGRN
Seats33212933765
Change3272828841
Votes31.0%20.1%17.7%13.6%11.2%
Change16.3%14.6%6.6%1.1%4.2%




This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.

Projected Swings

FromToPercent
LAB
REF
15.4%
CON
REF
11.5%
LAB
GRN
9.4%
LAB
LD
7.8%
LD
REF
7.6%
GRN
REF
6.0%
CON
GRN
5.4%
LAB
CON
4.0%
CON
LD
3.9%
LD
GRN
1.6%


Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
SNP
short by
6
65 seats needed for a majority

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

SNPCONLABGRNLDREF
Seats59141810919
Change51742519




This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.



Senedd Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
Plaid Cymru
short by
12
49 seats needed for a majority

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

LABCONPCREFLD
Seats16837332
Change312016332




This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.



2029 General Election
Latest Posts
New Senedd Election System
posted 20 Oct 2024, 11:00
Historical Battlegrounds
posted 28 Jul 2024, 11:30
Website Updated with the 2024 General Election Results
posted 5 Jul 2024, 12:00