On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 308 | 131 | 52 | 7 | 76 |
| Change | ▲303 | ▼280 | ▼69 | ▲3 | ▲4 |
| Votes | 29.3% | 19.0% | 18.7% | 13.7% | 12.9% |
| Change | ▲14.6% | ▼15.6% | ▼5.7% | ▲6.8% | ▲0.3% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 15.1% |
LAB | GRN | 11.2% |
CON | REF | 10.1% |
LAB | LD | 8.0% |
LD | REF | 7.1% |
CON | GRN | 6.3% |
LAB | CON | 5.0% |
GRN | REF | 3.9% |
LD | GRN | 3.3% |
CON | LD | 3.0% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 57 | 12 | 17 | 16 | 10 | 17 |
| Change | ▼7 | ▼19 | ▼5 | ▲8 | ▲6 | ▲17 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 27 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| Change | ▼20 | ▼19 | ▲5 | ▲32 | - |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.