On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 332 | 129 | 33 | 76 | 5 |
| Change | ▲327 | ▼282 | ▼88 | ▲4 | ▲1 |
| Votes | 31.0% | 20.1% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 11.2% |
| Change | ▲16.3% | ▼14.6% | ▼6.6% | ▲1.1% | ▲4.2% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 15.4% |
CON | REF | 11.5% |
LAB | GRN | 9.4% |
LAB | LD | 7.8% |
LD | REF | 7.6% |
GRN | REF | 6.0% |
CON | GRN | 5.4% |
LAB | CON | 4.0% |
CON | LD | 3.9% |
LD | GRN | 1.6% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 59 | 14 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Change | ▼5 | ▼17 | ▼4 | ▲2 | ▲5 | ▲19 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 16 | 8 | 37 | 33 | 2 |
| Change | ▼31 | ▼20 | ▲16 | ▲33 | ▲2 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.