On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 318 | 138 | 36 | 77 | 5 |
| Change | ▲313 | ▼273 | ▼85 | ▲5 | ▲1 |
| Votes | 30.1% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 10.3% |
| Change | ▲15.4% | ▼14.8% | ▼6.8% | ▲1.0% | ▲3.4% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 15.1% |
CON | REF | 11.1% |
LAB | GRN | 9.1% |
LAB | LD | 7.9% |
LD | REF | 7.2% |
GRN | REF | 6.0% |
CON | GRN | 5.1% |
LAB | CON | 4.0% |
CON | LD | 3.9% |
LD | GRN | 1.2% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 57 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 8 | 17 |
| Change | ▼7 | ▼18 | ▼6 | ▲10 | ▲4 | ▲17 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 16 | 8 | 37 | 33 | 2 |
| Change | ▼31 | ▼20 | ▲16 | ▲33 | ▲2 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.