On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 331 | 54 | 101 | 8 | 77 |
| Change | ▲326 | ▼67 | ▼310 | ▲4 | ▲5 |
| Votes | 29.9% | 19.5% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 13.1% |
| Change | ▲15.3% | ▼4.9% | ▼18.0% | ▲7.6% | ▲0.5% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 16.6% |
LAB | GRN | 12.8% |
CON | REF | 10.1% |
LAB | LD | 9.3% |
LD | REF | 7.4% |
LAB | CON | 6.6% |
CON | GRN | 6.2% |
GRN | REF | 3.8% |
LD | GRN | 3.5% |
CON | LD | 2.7% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 59 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 24 |
| Change | ▼5 | ▼20 | ▼9 | ▲6 | ▲4 | ▲24 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 12 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 1 |
| Change | ▼35 | ▼18 | ▲17 | ▲32 | ▲1 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.