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UK General Election 2024 Prediction | Labour landslide: majority of 110 Swing of 15.4% to Labour from Conservative Based on UK Election Polls. View seat gains and losses. | |
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Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Prediction | SNP short by 20 Based on Scottish Parliament Polls. View seat gains and losses. | |
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Senedd Election 2026 Prediction | Labour short by 1 Based on Senedd Polls. View seat gains and losses. |
Below is the list of upcoming elections, by-elections, referendums and events that you should make a note of in your diary. It is based on the most recent information we have and is subject to change.
| Date | Event | Description |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2025 | UK General Election | Latest date the next general election can be held |
| 07 May 2026 | Scottish Parliament election | Latest date the next Scottish Parliament election can be held |
| 07 May 2026 | Senedd election | Latest date the next Senedd election can be held |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2024 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| LAB | CON | RefUK | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 380 | 196 | 0 | 31 | 1 |
| Change | ▲180 | ▼176 | - | ▲23 | - |
| Votes | 43.5% | 24.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 5.6% |
| Change | ▲10.6% | ▼20.1% | ▲9.0% | ▼2.2% | ▲2.8% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2024 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 45 | 24 | 38 | 10 | 12 |
| Change | ▼19 | ▼7 | ▲16 | ▲2 | ▲8 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 30 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| Change | - | ▼5 | ▼1 | - | - |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.