On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 239 | 86 | 156 | 11 | 78 |
| Change | ▲234 | ▼35 | ▼255 | ▲7 | ▲6 |
| Votes | 25.8% | 18.5% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 11.9% |
| Change | ▲11.1% | ▼5.9% | ▼16.4% | ▲9.6% | ▼0.7% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 13.8% |
LAB | GRN | 13.0% |
CON | REF | 8.5% |
LAB | LD | 7.9% |
CON | GRN | 7.7% |
LD | REF | 5.9% |
LAB | CON | 5.3% |
LD | GRN | 5.1% |
CON | LD | 2.6% |
GRN | REF | 0.8% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 59 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 8 | 17 |
| Change | ▼5 | ▼17 | ▼5 | ▲6 | ▲4 | ▲17 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 16 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 1 | 5 |
| Change | ▼31 | ▼21 | ▲14 | ▲32 | ▲1 | ▲5 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.